What are the 5 stages of the demographic transition model?

The Demographic Transition Model

• Stage 1: High Population Growth Potential.
• Stage 2: Population Explosion.
• Stage 3: Population Growth Starts to Level Off.
• Stage 4: Stationary Population.
• Stage 5: Further Changes in Birth Rates.
• Summarizing the Stages.

Who developed the theory of demographic transition?

Frank Notestein
In 1944-45, Frank Notestein and Kingsley Davis presented the theory of demographic transition in the form that came to be nearly universally accepted. All societies, it was believed, would pass through the three stages, from a preindustrial to a postindustrial demographic equilibrium.

What is the explanation behind the demographic transition model?

The Demographic Transition Model (DTM) is based on historical population trends of two demographic characteristics – birth rate and death rate – to suggest that a country’s total population growth rate cycles through stages as that country develops economically.

What are the main features of the demographic transition theory?

Key Points Demographic transition theory suggests that populations grow along a predictable five-stage model. In stage 1, pre-industrial society, death rates and birth rates are high and roughly in balance, and population growth is typically very slow and constrained by the available food supply.

What is a Stage 4 country?

That being said, Stage 4 of the DTM is viewed as an ideal placement for a country because total population growth is gradual. Examples of countries in Stage 4 of the Demographic Transition are Argentina, Australia, Canada, China, Brazil, most of Europe, Singapore, South Korea, and the U.S.

Which stage of demographic transition is India in?

third phase
Countries like India in the third phase of demographic transition have fertility rates that have declined significantly from previously high levels but have not reached the population-stabilizing “replacement level” of 2.1 children per woman. These countries are home to 38 percent of the world’s 7 billion people.

Has the Philippines undergone the demographic transition?

With its population structure, the Philippines remains in the first phase of the demographic transition. By the year 2020, the country is projected to have a population of almost 110 million Filipinos.

What are the effects of demographic transition?

Summary. In summary, demographic change will result in a slower-growing and older population. This transition will likely put downward pressure on the growth rate of potential output, the natural rate of unemployment, and the long-term equilibrium interest rate.

What is the importance of demographic transition?

The demographic transition has enabled economies to convert a larger portion of the gains from factor accumulation and technological progress into growth of income per capita. It enhanced labor productivity and the growth process via three channels.